BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northern Arizona
Class: 1 Class Rank: 320 Overall: (14-19) Overall Strength = 31.77
Conference: Big Sky Record: (7-12) | District: 1-02 Record: (14-19)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-06-2023 Away L * 27.73 52 95 1 2 (37- 3) Connecticut -3.92 * -39.08
2 11-12-2023 Away L * 21.38 55 89 1 59 (30- 5) Grand Canyon -10.26 -23.74
3 11-15-2023 Away W * 51.56 62 60 1 110 (23-14) Seattle 19.92 -17.92
4 11-17-2023 Neutral L * 32.44 67 77 1 158 (23-13) PFW 0.80 -10.80
5 11-18-2023 Neutral W * 31.58 78 69 1 361 ( 4-28) VMI -0.07 9.07
6 11-21-2023 Away L * 35.96 61 70 1 163 (20-14) Hawaii 4.32 -13.32
7 11-29-2023 Away L * 31.56 59 70 1 199 (16-15) UC Santa Barbara -0.08 -10.92
8 12-02-2023 Home W * 41.39 78 58 1 357 ( 6-26) Pacific 9.74 10.26
9 12-06-2023 Away W * 43.67 78 76 1 211 (16-18) Abilene Chr 12.03 -10.03
10 12-09-2023 Away W * 31.71 76 75 1 345 ( 7-23) Incarnate Word 0.06 0.94
11 12-16-2023 Home W * 36.77 76 74 1 244 (10-21) Southern Utah 5.13 -3.13
12 12-20-2023 Away L * 14.53 51 91 1 64 (23-11) San Francisco -17.12 -22.88
13 12-30-2023 Away L * * 26.93 77 92 1 207 (19-14) N Colorado -4.71 -10.29
14 01-03-2024 Away L * 13.66 55 81 1 255 (15-18) NE Omaha -17.98 -8.02
15 01-06-2024 Home W * 35.92 74 73 1 243 (18-14) North Dakota 4.28 -3.28
16 01-11-2024 Away L * * 11.83 50 79 1 230 (17-18) Montana St -19.81 -9.19
17 01-13-2024 Away L * * 2.05 47 90 1 161 (24-12) Montana -29.59 -13.41
18 01-18-2024 Home W * * 52.90 84 65 1 258 (17-15) Portland St 21.25 -2.25
19 01-20-2024 Home W * * 39.19 70 61 1 307 (10-24) CS Sacramento 7.55 1.45
20 01-25-2024 Away W * * 49.92 75 60 1 313 (11-21) Idaho 18.28 -3.28
21 01-27-2024 Away L * * 30.71 70 85 1 154 (21-11) E Washington -0.93 -14.07
22 02-01-2024 Home L * * 38.22 70 72 1 147 (20-12) Weber St 6.57 -8.57
23 02-03-2024 Home L * * 31.28 79 81 1 260 (14-20) Idaho St -0.37 -1.63
24 02-08-2024 Home L * * 11.18 66 94 1 161 (24-12) Montana -20.46 -7.54
25 02-10-2024 Home W * * 39.96 76 71 1 230 (17-18) Montana St 8.32 -3.32
26 02-15-2024 Away W * * 51.06 73 58 1 307 (10-24) CS Sacramento 19.42 -4.42
27 02-17-2024 Away L * * 24.77 68 83 1 258 (17-15) Portland St -6.87 -8.13
28 02-22-2024 Home W * * 46.84 78 71 1 154 (21-11) E Washington 15.20 -8.20
29 02-24-2024 Home L * * 19.05 76 86 1 313 (11-21) Idaho -12.60 2.60
30 02-29-2024 Away W * * 43.15 92 88 2 1 260 (14-20) Idaho St 11.50 -7.50
31 03-02-2024 Away L * * 19.09 58 85 1 147 (20-12) Weber St -12.56 -14.44
32 03-04-2024 Home L * * 28.06 74 82 1 207 (19-14) N Colorado -3.58 -4.42
33 03-09-2024 Neutral L * * 28.21 60 68 1 260 (14-20) Idaho St -3.43 -4.57
Averages 31.64 68.6 76.6
Best game: 52.90 = 19 point win over Portland St
Worst game: 2.05 = 43 point loss to Montana
Team stdev: 12.79